Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.055049 0.059688 0.064382 0.069478 0.074847 0.080330 0.086344
2025-06-08 0.049356 0.056331 0.063628 0.071804 0.080684 0.090008 0.100512
2025-06-15 0.044518 0.053167 0.062488 0.073215 0.085159 0.097989 0.112752
2025-06-22 0.040364 0.050241 0.061170 0.074050 0.088701 0.104743 0.123528
2025-06-29 0.036558 0.047307 0.059496 0.074171 0.091189 0.110138 0.132665
2025-07-06 0.034508 0.046181 0.059701 0.076273 0.095797 0.117836 0.144360
2025-07-13 0.031336 0.043450 0.057791 0.075696 0.097132 0.121661 0.151538
2025-07-20 0.028972 0.041515 0.056667 0.075903 0.099261 0.126314 0.159610
2025-07-27 0.027311 0.040327 0.056339 0.076971 0.102339 0.132027 0.168899
2025-08-03 0.026142 0.039675 0.056598 0.078695 0.106168 0.138614 0.179226
2025-08-10 0.023249 0.036579 0.053612 0.076233 0.104754 0.138826 0.181891
2025-08-17 0.021500 0.034902 0.052344 0.075844 0.105822 0.141974 0.188034
2025-08-24 0.019808 0.033236 0.051053 0.075415 0.106867 0.145161 0.194341
2025-08-31 0.019262 0.033142 0.051828 0.077664 0.111312 0.152566 0.205858
2025-09-07 0.018442 0.032604 0.051968 0.079054 0.114656 0.158626 0.215767
2025-09-14 0.017492 0.031813 0.051715 0.079888 0.117267 0.163770 0.224568
2025-09-21 0.016372 0.030700 0.050956 0.079995 0.118900 0.167672 0.231833
2025-09-28 0.016007 0.030705 0.051751 0.082199 0.123283 0.175067 0.243495
2025-10-05 0.014800 0.029334 0.050526 0.081587 0.123915 0.177673 0.249147
2025-10-12 0.013925 0.028431 0.049929 0.081802 0.125616 0.181632 0.256504
2025-10-19 0.013369 0.028004 0.049998 0.082926 0.128521 0.187137 0.265833
2025-10-26 0.013036 0.027921 0.050562 0.084741 0.132365 0.193874 0.276763
2025-11-02 0.011574 0.025858 0.048079 0.082149 0.130160 0.192702 0.277551